10 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KF
🇺🇦Karel Farsky
ELO 1553
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Farsky
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1500
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Farsky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)