11 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1458
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1513
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
🌟Vydra covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H13-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)