11 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1582
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volkov
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1570
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovshun🌟Kovshun covers set handicap as underdog 76% (46)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H42-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.