11 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stopin
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1431
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.