11 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1435
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1446
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 80% (20)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.