11 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jan Simecek Jnr
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hanke
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1588
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H12-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)