11 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1476
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cmil
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1482
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Cmil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (62)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.