11 Jul · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1804
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hryban
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1881
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
🌟Danyliuk covers set handicap as underdog 68% (31)
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H61-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-31)