11 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1556
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hoshko
NH
🇺🇦Nikita Hoshko
ELO 1560
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Hoshko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.