11 Jul · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1734
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Danyliuk
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1804
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H107-103
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (107-103)