11 Jul · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Roman Pomin
ELO 1578
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1579
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.