11 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1567
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zeniuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Zeniuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (48)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.