11 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1574
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kotiash
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1573
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Kotiash stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kotiash
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.