11 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1567
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeniuk
NH
🇺🇦Nikita Hoshko
ELO 1560
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Zeniuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (48)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.