11 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1431
FormWLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1573
FormLWLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~72 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)