11 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1435
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mukhin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1385
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)