11 Jul · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1734
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Molochko
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1648
FormLLLWL
59%
41%
🌟Molochko goes over total as favourite 67% (51)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H67-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (67-26)