11 Jul · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇺🇦Jan Simecek Jnr
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hala
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1521
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hala🌟Hala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (39)
Fair odds · Hala
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.