11 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1556
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rak
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1614
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H27-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-8)