11 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1599
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Torianyk
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1654
FormWWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Sideltsev stays under total as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Torianyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)