11 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1360
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Priadko
VL
🇺🇦Vasyl Laskavyi
ELO 1285
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)