11 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1476
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Seeman
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1458
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vydra🌟Vydra covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.