11 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stopin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1385
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)