11 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1521
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Juppa
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Juppa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.