11 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1435
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mukhin
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1431
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.