11 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1614
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rak
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (85)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)