11 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1521
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hanke
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1588
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)