11 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1579
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Riadynskyi
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1566
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H48-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.