12 Jul · 11:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1561
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lutsyshyn
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1542
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as favourite 67% (45)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~69 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.