12 Jul · 13:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1670
FormLLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lushchyk
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1775
FormLLLWW
39%
61%
🌟Lushchyk stays under total as favourite 65% (63)
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H38-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-26)