12 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IV
🇺🇦Ihor Vasylyshyn
ELO 1540
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vasylyshyn
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Patalakha
ELO 1470
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Patalakha stays under total as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Vasylyshyn
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)