12 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1517
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Yakimenko
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1523
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 62% (106)
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H57-68
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.