12 Jul · 12:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tymofeev
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1558
FormWLLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)