12 Jul · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RA
🇺🇦Ruslan Andrishak
ELO 1573
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Andrishak
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1561
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as underdog 71% (34)
Fair odds · Andrishak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.