12 Jul · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1461
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Torhachov
IT
🇺🇦Ihor Torhachov
ELO 1486
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Torhachov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.