12 Jul · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SO
🇺🇦Sergey Osipov
ELO 1404
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Osipov
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1343
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Osipov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)