12 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1471
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Regush
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1543
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
🌟Regush rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (46)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)