12 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1605
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Radkovsky
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1543
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Semrad🌟Semrad covers set handicap as underdog 68% (44)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)