12 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jirousek
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Jirousek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 16% (31)
Fair odds · Jirousek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.