12 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1595
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)