12 Jul · 11:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Yakimenko
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1523
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H6-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)