12 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1242
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Urezchenko
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1313
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
🌟Urezchenko stays under total as favourite 64% (39)
Fair odds · Urezchenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)