12 Jul · 07:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IV
🇺🇦Ihor Vasylyshyn
ELO 1540
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vasylyshyn
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1523
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (96)
Fair odds · Vasylyshyn
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.