12 Jul · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1506
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hala
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1445
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Taranko🌟Hala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (53)
Fair odds · Hala
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H3-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)