12 Jul · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1453
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Snizek
PF
🇺🇦Petr Fiser
ELO 1393
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fiser🌟Fiser covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)