12 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1566
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurtenko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1529
FormWWWWL
54%
46%
🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (88)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H21-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.