12 Jul · 16:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1461
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ziakun
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1554
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)