12 Jul · 11:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1418
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shypilov
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1404
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalenyk🌟Shypilov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (41)
Fair odds · Shypilov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H30-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.