12 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1554
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Savenkov
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1542
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Savenkov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.