12 Jul · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IV
🇺🇦Ihor Vasylyshyn
ELO 1540
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vasylyshyn
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vasylyshyn
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)